Forecasting model: Finland Use of qualitative methods

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The forecasting methods used are a combination of quantitative and qualitative methods.

Quantitative anticipation is used to provide information on quantitative needs for vocationally and professionally oriented education and training in upper secondary vocational education and training (VET), polytechnic education and university education (Mitenna model).

Fo a description of the Mitenna model for anticipation, anticipation results of demand for labour until 2025 and educational needs for education and training in the latter part of the 2010’s based on this data see “Education, Training and Demand for labour in Finland by 2025 report”.

Qualitative methods for anticipating vocational competence and skills needs for the future (next 10-15 years) were developed by the Finnish National Board of Education. The model is known as the VOSE project. The knowledge produced through the model should serve different levels of education, including vocational, polytechnic and university education. Anticipatory knowledge may be utilised, for example, in the national core curriculum, in curriculum planning and the development of the content of education. For the results of the pilot project hold in 2008-2012 see the report available at http://www.oph.fi/download/144508_VOSE_Results_2012.pdf.

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