Forecasting model: Spain Forecasting approach

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The forecasting model looks both demand and supply of health workforce.

The supply submodel was implemented for each of the 43 specialties, and separately for women and men, since the flows that affect the stock of specialists, emigration and immigration, drop-outs, productivity, mortality, etc., differ significantly by gender.

On the demand side, the model allows the analysis of the degree of sensitivity of the parameters that are most uncertain: population growth, and the growth rate for the demand of each specialty.

The model calculates the supply and the deficit or surplus.

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