The quantitative forecast includes a supply side and five very simplistic scenarios for the demand side, one scenario showing the demand for workforce if the current ratio between the profession and population size is being kept and four scenarios showing the expected demand for workforce increasing 0 %; 0,5 %; 1 % or 1,5 % per year.
The decision not to create a more elaborate demand forecast is primarily due to great difficulties associated with forecasting demand. When producing a five year plan setting either the number of postgraduate training posts for medical or dental specialists the Danish Health and Medicines Authority uses the results from the supply forecast and is furthermore advised by different stakeholders regarding their qualitative estimation of the need of medical or dental specialists in the different specialties on a national and regional level.
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