Forecasting model: Belgium Migration flows

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Migration inflow and migration outflows are quantitative input variables in the Belgian forecasting model for doctors, dentist, nurse and physiotherapists.

Starting from historical data available, the estimation of the expected future migration levels is based on the observed trends and the insights of the consulted experts

  • Migration inflow:  recognition of foreign qualifications.
    • Data are available annually and are integrated in the individual data base (Belgian Cadaster of practicing health professions)
    • Data available are aggregated for sex and for age groups but the flow of migration can be divided by age and sex using a distribution key based on the data in immigration and emigration.
  • Migration outflow:  currently no reliable data is available, value set to zero in scenario development.

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