FINDINGS ON
FORECASTING MODEL

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The main approaches to health workforce forecasting include the supply projection approach, the demand-based approach and needs-based approach.

The seven planning systems adopt different qualitative methods and techniques in the health workforce forecasting both to set some future scenario or to feed the forecasting model with information collected with qualitative techniques (Delphi, Brainstorming, Market survey, elicitation methods etc.).

The projection period might be different depending on the parameters, professions considered, goals defined etc.

The forecasting model might take into consideration possible integration between (vertical substitution) and/or within (horizontal substitution) professional groups.

Finally, what it is very important is the assessment of the forecasting model .

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