Back to the IMPLEMENTATION PATH
Back to the IMPROVING PATH
Does a basic approach to estimate “the right people” exist?
Although the seven planning systems share planning principles and in most cases also the basic dimensions of planning (quantity and timing), the models and processes to forecast that quantity in the future are varied. At its basic stage, HWF planning consists in forecasting the evolution in the supply of and in the demand for healthcare services taking into account demographic variables.
What’s “the right time”?
To set “the right time” it’s necessary to take into account not only the training period (from 4 to 12 years) but, in case the government wants to implement new policies, there is also a lead time due to all the legislative hurdles that have to be passed before any change can be started.
Is it feasible to forecast other HWF dimensions?
More comprehensive forecasting models also consider the skills of the workforce, their geographical distribution, the impact of technological progress, the epidemiological needs of the population or the kind of services provided and how all these factors mix, and their impact on the reorganization of health care delivery.
Is stakeholders’ consensus necessary?
Transparency and communication are one of the keys to successful planning systems.
Download the document [PDF 278 KB] (Lessons on Forecasting Model)